Match preview

Deportes Limache vs Nublense prediction

Deportes Limache

10 in the table · 21 pts from 16

Nublense

5 in the table · 25 pts from 16

Sat, Aug 1, 08:00 PM

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Nublense the more likely winner at 44%, against 29% for Deportes Limache and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Deportes Limache win

29%

Draw

27%

Nublense win

44%

Most likely scorelines1113%129%018%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 1.6

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Deportes Limache clean sheet

20%

Nublense clean sheet

28%

Corners

League average 5

Deportes Limache5.6
Nublense4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Deportes Limache2.4
Nublense2

Shots

League average 12.5

Deportes Limache13.2
Nublense13.2

Possession

Deportes Limache48
Nublense52

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

30%

Shots

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

2.7

Deportes Limache · on target

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

1.2

Nublense · on target

I. Jeraldino

Nublense

1

Deportes Limache · Recent form

  • L1-3Colo Colo
  • W4-1San Marcos de Arica
  • D1-1Coquimbo Unido
  • L1-4Deportes Iquique
  • D1-1Coquimbo Unido

Nublense · Recent form

  • W1-0Rangers de Talca
  • W2-0Palestino
  • L0-1O'Higgins
  • W2-1O'Higgins
  • D2-2Curico Unido

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Deportes Limache vs Nublense?

Golazo's model makes Nublense the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Deportes Limache vs Nublense?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Nublense?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

More Primera División (Chile) matches

All Primera División (Chile) fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.