Match preview
NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar prediction
NEC Nijmegen
3 in the table · 59 pts from 34
Telstar
14 in the table · 37 pts from 34
Sat, Aug 8, 10:30 AM
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The short answer
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 64%, against 17% for Telstar and 18% for the draw. It projects 4.1 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%, and puts both teams scoring at 71%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
NEC Nijmegen win
64%
Draw
18%
Telstar win
17%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.7 – 1.4
Total goals 4.1
Both teams score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
25%
Telstar clean sheet
7%
What stands out
Total goals 4.1
52% above a typical match · League average 2.7
NEC Nijmegen 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded · Telstar 1.7 / 1.8 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Tejan
Telstar
22%
Shots
M. Zonneveld
Telstar
2.2
Telstar · on target
M. Zonneveld
Telstar
1.2
NEC Nijmegen · Recent form
- D0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Sevilla
- L0-1SV Elversberg
- W7-0Al-Fayha
- W3-1V-varen Nagasaki
Telstar · Recent form
- L1-3VfL Wolfsburg
- W6-3De Graafschap
- L0-1Sparta Rotterdam
- L1-2Almere City FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 64%, with the draw at 18%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 8%. The model projects 4.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 71%, and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.