Match preview
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction
AZ Alkmaar
7 in the table · 52 pts from 34
ADO Den Haag
Sat, Aug 8, 03:00 PM
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The short answer
Golazo's model makes ADO Den Haag the more likely winner at 41%, against 35% for AZ Alkmaar and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 68%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
AZ Alkmaar win
35%
Draw
24%
ADO Den Haag win
41%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.8
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet
17%
ADO Den Haag clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
27% above a typical match · League average 2.7
AZ Alkmaar 1.9 scored / 1.0 conceded · ADO Den Haag 2.5 / 1.0 per game
match.offsides 2.9
17% below a typical match · League average 3.5
AZ Alkmaar 1.4 + ADO Den Haag 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Parrott
AZ Alkmaar
37%
Shots
T. Parrott
AZ Alkmaar
2.6
AZ Alkmaar · on target
T. Parrott
AZ Alkmaar
1.5
ADO Den Haag · on target
L. Reischl
ADO Den Haag
1.2
AZ Alkmaar · Recent form
- W4-0PSV Eindhoven
- W3-2Olympiakos Piraeus
- W4-0Genk
- D1-1Zulte Waregem
- L0-1Anderlecht
ADO Den Haag · Recent form
- D0-0Asteras Tripolis
- W4-0Lommel United
- W3-2KV Mechelen
- W5-1Laakkwartier
- W3-1Den Bosch
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Golazo's model makes ADO Den Haag the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 68%, and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
More Eredivisie matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.