Match preview
Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
5 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Guimaraes
15 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Fri, Aug 14, 03:15 PM
Lisbon
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 63%, against 16% for Guimaraes and 21% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 61%. Behind that: Sporting CP have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Guimaraes in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sporting CP win
63%
Draw
21%
Guimaraes win
16%
What our model expects
Sporting CPPer gameGuimaraesBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.1
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Sporting CP clean sheet
33%
Guimaraes clean sheet
10%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
25% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Sporting CP 2.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · Guimaraes 1.5 / 1.2 per game
Offsides 3.9
12% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Sporting CP 2.3 + Guimaraes 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sporting CP
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Guimaraes
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Sporting CP · Recent form
- D2-2Estrela
- W4-1Nottingham Forest
- W2-0Monaco
- W7-0Strasbourg
- W4-1Celtic
Guimaraes · Recent form
- L0-1Arouca
- W2-0Chaves
- D1-1Nottingham Forest
- W3-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
More Primeira Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.