Match preview
Estrela vs Sporting CP prediction
Estrela
15 in the table · 30 pts from 34
Sporting CP
2 in the table · 82 pts from 34
Sat, Aug 8, 03:30 PM
Amadora
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 56%, against 21% for Estrela and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Estrela win
21%
Draw
23%
Sporting CP win
56%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 2.1
Total goals 3.3
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Estrela clean sheet
13%
Sporting CP clean sheet
29%
What stands out
Total goals 3.3
22% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Estrela 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded · Sporting CP 2.6 / 0.9 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Suárez
Sporting CP
36%
Shots
L. Suárez
Sporting CP
3
Sporting CP · on target
L. Suárez
Sporting CP
1.6
Estrela · Recent form
- W4-2Al-Nassr
- W1-0Lusitano Évora 1911
- D1-1Portimonense
- W2-0Nacional
- L1-2Casa Pia
Sporting CP · Recent form
- W4-1Nottingham Forest
- W2-0Monaco
- W7-0Strasbourg
- W4-1Celtic
- L1-2Torreense
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
More Primeira Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.