Match preview
Sochaux vs Guingamp prediction
Sochaux
Guingamp
Sochaux
17 in the table · 1 pts from 2
Guingamp
8 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 21, 02:00 PM
Stade Auguste Bonal
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sochaux the more likely winner at 56%, against 17% for Guingamp and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Sochaux have scored in 0 of 2 league games this season, Guingamp in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sochaux win
56%
Draw
27%
Guingamp win
17%
What our model expects
SochauxPer gameGuingampBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Sochaux clean sheet
45%
Guingamp clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Cards 3.3
26% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Sochaux 1.5 + Guingamp 1.8 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Sochaux 1.7 + Guingamp 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Kielt
Guingamp
15%
Shots
T. Averlant
Guingamp
1.6
Sochaux · on target
S. Baghdadi
Sochaux
0.4
Guingamp · on target
T. Averlant
Guingamp
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sochaux
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 0 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Guingamp
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Sochaux · Recent form
- D0-0RED Star FC 93
- L0-3Saint Etienne
- D1-1Auxerre
- L0-3Dijon
- L1-4Metz
Guingamp · Recent form
- W1-0Boulogne
- L1-2Metz
- D3-3Stade Brestois 29
- L0-2Lorient
- L0-1Concarneau
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Golazo's model makes Sochaux the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More Ligue 2 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.