Match preview

Dijon vs PAU prediction

Dijon
v
PAU
81137
DijonDrawPAU
Goals expectedBoth teams score56%Over 2.5 goals76%Total goals4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Dijon

7 in the table · 1 pts from 1

PAU

15 in the table · 0 pts from 1

Fri, Aug 14, 02:45 PM

Dijon

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Dijon the more likely winner at 81%, against 7% for PAU and 13% for the draw. It projects 4 goals in total, with 3-0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Dijon have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, PAU in 0 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Dijon win

81%

Draw

13%

PAU win

7%

Most likely scorelines3–09%2–09%3–18%

What our model expects

DijonPer gamePAU
DDWWWLast 5LLLLW
3.1Expected goals0.9
47Possession53
12.6Shots12.8
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
4.7Corners4.7
2.4Cards2.4

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

3.1 – 0.9

Total goals 4

Both teams score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

76%

Over 1.5 goals

91%

Dijon clean sheet

42%

PAU clean sheet

5%

What stands out

  • Total goals 4

    47% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Dijon 1.8 scored / 1.1 conceded · PAU 1.2 / 2.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

Dijon4.7
PAU4.7

Cards

League average 2.25

Dijon2.4
PAU2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

Dijon12.6
PAU12.8

Possession

Dijon47
PAU53

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Dijon

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

PAU

Away
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Dijon · Recent form

  • D1-1Montpellier
  • D2-2Nancy
  • W3-0Sochaux
  • W2-1Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • W4-1Progres Niederkorn

PAU · Recent form

  • L0-1Annecy
  • L1-2Real Unión
  • L0-4Real Sociedad II
  • L0-4Espanyol
  • W3-0Tarbes

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Dijon vs PAU?

Golazo's model makes Dijon the more likely winner at 81%, with the draw at 13%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Dijon vs PAU?

The single most likely scoreline is 3-0, at 9%. The model projects 4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Dijon vs PAU?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

More Ligue 2 matches

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table →

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.