Match preview
Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction
Guingamp
Boulogne
Guingamp
13 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Boulogne
10 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Fri, Aug 14, 02:45 PM
Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Guingamp 32%, the draw 37%, Boulogne 31%. It projects 1.7 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%, and puts both teams scoring at 34%. Behind that: Guingamp have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Boulogne in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Guingamp win
32%
Draw
37%
Boulogne win
31%
What our model expects
GuingampPer gameBoulogneBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.8
Total goals 1.7
Both teams score
34%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Over 1.5 goals
52%
Guingamp clean sheet
43%
Boulogne clean sheet
42%
What stands out
Total goals 1.7
37% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Guingamp 0.9 scored / 1.5 conceded · Boulogne 0.8 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.8
15% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Guingamp 1.8 + Boulogne 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Guingamp
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Boulogne
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
Guingamp · Recent form
- L1-2Metz
- D3-3Stade Brestois 29
- L0-2Lorient
- L0-1Concarneau
- L1-3Rennes
Boulogne · Recent form
- D0-0Nancy
- D1-1Valenciennes
- L0-1Rouen
- W1-0Amiens
- L1-4Lens
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Guingamp 32%, the draw 37%, Boulogne 31%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 20%. The model projects 1.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 34%, and over 2.5 goals at 24%.
More Ligue 2 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.