Match preview

Nancy vs Montpellier prediction

Nancy
v
Montpellier
362539
NancyDrawMontpellier
Goals expectedBoth teams score67%Over 2.5 goals65%Total goals3.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Nancy

9 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Montpellier

8 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Fri, Aug 14, 02:45 PM

Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Nancy 36%, the draw 25%, Montpellier 39%. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 67%. Behind that: Nancy have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Montpellier in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Nancy win

36%

Draw

25%

Montpellier win

39%

Most likely scorelines1111%128%218%

What our model expects

NancyPer gameMontpellier
DDDDWLast 5DWWLW
1.8Cards2.4
4.9Corners4.2
12.8Shots14.0
1.6Expected goals1.7
51Possession49
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 1.7

Total goals 3.4

Both teams score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Over 1.5 goals

86%

Nancy clean sheet

18%

Montpellier clean sheet

19%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.4

    24% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Nancy 1.6 scored / 1.5 conceded · Montpellier 1.7 / 1.2 per game

  • Offsides 2.8

    20% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Nancy 1.4 + Montpellier 1.4 per game

Corners

League average 5

Nancy4.9
Montpellier4.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Nancy1.8
Montpellier2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

Nancy12.8
Montpellier14

Possession

Nancy51
Montpellier49

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Nancy

At home
  • Scored in 0 of 1

Montpellier

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Nancy · Recent form

  • D0-0Boulogne
  • D2-2Dijon
  • D0-0Epinal
  • D1-1Annecy
  • W5-0Haguenau

Montpellier · Recent form

  • D1-1Dijon
  • W4-2Rodez
  • W1-0Clermont Foot
  • L3-4Cannes
  • W5-2Le Puy Foot

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Nancy vs Montpellier?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Nancy 36%, the draw 25%, Montpellier 39%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Nancy vs Montpellier?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Nancy vs Montpellier?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 67%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

More Ligue 2 matches

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.