Match preview
SJK vs Lahti prediction
SJK
Lahti
SJK
10 in the table · 18 pts from 20
Lahti
8 in the table · 26 pts from 19
Fri, Aug 21, 12:00 PM
OmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lahti the more likely winner at 38%, against 31% for SJK and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: SJK have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Lahti in 13 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
SJK win
31%
Draw
31%
Lahti win
38%
What our model expects
SJKPer gameLahtiNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.2
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
SJK clean sheet
30%
Lahti clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
17% below a typical match · League average 2.7
SJK 1.7 scored / 1.4 conceded · Lahti 1.4 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
O. Tessilimi
SJK
16%
Shots
J. Streng
SJK
1.6
SJK · on target
O. Tessilimi
SJK
0.8
Lahti · on target
O. Koskinen
Lahti
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
SJK
At home- 1.2
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.3
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Lahti
Away- 0.89
- pts/game
- 0.67
- scored
- 0.89
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
SJK · Recent form
- L0-2Mariehamn
- D2-2Gnistan
- W3-0HJK Helsinki
- L1-2FF Jaro
- L0-2KuPS
Lahti · Recent form
- L1-2KuPS
- D0-0Inter Turku
- W2-0FF Jaro
- L0-1Ilves
- W2-0Mariehamn
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win SJK vs Lahti?
Golazo's model makes Lahti the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in SJK vs Lahti?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in SJK vs Lahti?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.