Match preview
Lahti vs KuPS prediction
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
7 in the table · 26 pts from 19
KuPS
1 in the table · 40 pts from 19
Sun, Aug 16, 10:00 AM
Lahden Stadion, Lahti
The short answer
Golazo's model makes KuPS the more likely winner at 37%, against 31% for Lahti and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Lahti have scored in 13 of 19 league games this season, KuPS in 17 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Lahti win
31%
Draw
32%
KuPS win
37%
What our model expects
LahtiPer gameKuPSNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.1
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Lahti clean sheet
33%
KuPS clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Lahti 1.5 scored / 1.1 conceded · KuPS 1.6 / 0.9 per game
Offsides 5
43% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Lahti 2.2 + KuPS 2.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Moreno
KuPS
26%
Shots
J. Moreno
KuPS
2.3
Lahti · on target
O. Koskinen
Lahti
0.6
KuPS · on target
J. Moreno
KuPS
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Lahti
At home- 1.8
- pts/game
- 1.6
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
KuPS
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 0.78
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 19
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Lahti · Recent form
- D0-0Inter Turku
- W2-0FF Jaro
- L0-1Ilves
- W2-0Mariehamn
- W2-0HJK Helsinki
KuPS · Recent form
- D1-1Turku PS
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova
- W1-0Gnistan
- L0-2Sabah FA
- W3-1VPS
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Lahti vs KuPS?
Golazo's model makes KuPS the more likely winner at 37%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Lahti vs KuPS?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Lahti vs KuPS?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.