Match preview
Mariehamn vs SJK prediction
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
12 in the table · 5 pts from 19
SJK
10 in the table · 18 pts from 19
Sat, Aug 15, 12:00 PM
Mariehamn
The short answer
Golazo's model makes SJK the more likely winner at 54%, against 20% for Mariehamn and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: Mariehamn have scored in 7 of 19 league games this season, SJK in 13 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Mariehamn win
20%
Draw
27%
SJK win
54%
What our model expects
MariehamnPer gameSJKNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.7
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Mariehamn clean sheet
19%
SJK clean sheet
40%
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Streng
SJK
37%
Shots
K. Appiah Nyarko
SJK
1.7
Mariehamn · on target
J. Svedberg
Mariehamn
0.4
SJK · on target
J. Streng
SJK
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Mariehamn
At home- 0.44
- pts/game
- 0.56
- scored
- 1.89
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 19
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
SJK
Away- 0.67
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.78
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
Mariehamn · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
SJK · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Mariehamn vs SJK?
Golazo's model makes SJK the more likely winner at 54%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Mariehamn vs SJK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs SJK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.