Match preview
SJK vs HJK Helsinki: projection vs result
SJK
10 in the table · 17 pts from 18
HJK Helsinki
4 in the table · 28 pts from 18
3–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes HJK Helsinki the more likely winner at 38%, against 34% for SJK and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: SJK have scored in 12 of 18 league games this season, HJK Helsinki in 13 of 18. It finished SJK 3–0 HJK Helsinki.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
SJK win
34%
Draw
27%
HJK Helsinki win
38%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.9Actual 3Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 59%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 55%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.5
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
SJK clean sheet
23%
HJK Helsinki clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Corners 8.4
16% below a typical match · League average 10
SJK win 4.3 per game, HJK Helsinki concede 4.0
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
19%
Shots
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
1.6
SJK · on target
O. Tessilimi
SJK
0.8
HJK Helsinki · on target
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
SJK
At home- 1.22
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
HJK Helsinki
Away- 1.22
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
SJK · Recent form
- W3-0HJK Helsinki
- L1-2FF Jaro
- L0-2KuPS
- L0-1VPS
- W3-1Turku PS
HJK Helsinki · Recent form
- L0-3SJK
- W3-0Coleraine FC
- W1-0Turku PS
- W5-0Coleraine FC
- W2-1VPS
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win SJK vs HJK Helsinki?
Golazo's model makes HJK Helsinki the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in SJK vs HJK Helsinki?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in SJK vs HJK Helsinki?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.