Match preview
FF Jaro vs VPS prediction
FF Jaro
11 in the table · 15 pts from 18
VPS
6 in the table · 27 pts from 18
Sat, Aug 8, 12:00 PM
Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
The short answer
Golazo's model makes VPS the more likely winner at 50%, against 22% for FF Jaro and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: FF Jaro have scored in 10 of 18 league games this season, VPS in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FF Jaro win
22%
Draw
28%
VPS win
50%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.6
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
FF Jaro clean sheet
21%
VPS clean sheet
38%
What stands out
Cards 3.1
30% below a typical match · League average 4.5
FF Jaro 1.6 + VPS 1.6 per game
match.offsides 2.7
22% below a typical match · League average 3.5
FF Jaro 1.3 + VPS 1.4 per game
Corners 8.6
14% below a typical match · League average 10
FF Jaro win 5.0 per game, VPS concede 3.7
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Smyth
VPS
26%
Shots
H. Sjögrell
FF Jaro
2.1
FF Jaro · on target
H. Sjögrell
FF Jaro
1.3
VPS · on target
L. Smyth
VPS
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FF Jaro
At home- 1.44
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 10 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
VPS
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.78
- scored
- 1.11
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
FF Jaro · Recent form
- L0-2Lahti
- W2-1SJK
- D0-0Inter Turku
- W2-1Ilves
- L2-3Turku PS
VPS · Recent form
- L0-1Inter Turku
- L1-3KuPS
- L1-2HJK Helsinki
- W1-0SJK
- W4-0Mariehamn
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FF Jaro vs VPS?
Golazo's model makes VPS the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FF Jaro vs VPS?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FF Jaro vs VPS?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.