Match preview
SJK vs Gnistan prediction
SJK
10 in the table · 17 pts from 18
Gnistan
5 in the table · 28 pts from 18
Fri, Aug 7, 12:00 PM
OmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: SJK 34%, the draw 28%, Gnistan 38%. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: SJK have scored in 12 of 18 league games this season, Gnistan in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
SJK win
34%
Draw
28%
Gnistan win
38%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.4
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
SJK clean sheet
24%
Gnistan clean sheet
26%
What stands out
match.offsides 2.8
19% below a typical match · League average 3.5
SJK 1.5 + Gnistan 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Akinyemi
Gnistan
25%
Shots
J. Streng
SJK
1.6
SJK · on target
O. Tessilimi
SJK
0.8
Gnistan · on target
A. Akinyemi
Gnistan
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
SJK
At home- 1.22
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Gnistan
Away- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1.11
- scored
- 0.89
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
SJK · Recent form
- W3-0HJK Helsinki
- L1-2FF Jaro
- L0-2KuPS
- L0-1VPS
- W3-1Turku PS
Gnistan · Recent form
- L0-1KuPS
- W2-1Inter Turku
- W2-0AC Oulu
- W4-2Mariehamn
- L0-1Lahti
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win SJK vs Gnistan?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: SJK 34%, the draw 28%, Gnistan 38%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in SJK vs Gnistan?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in SJK vs Gnistan?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
More Veikkausliiga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.