Match preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
7 in the table · 22 pts from 16
Sandefjord
13 in the table · 15 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 11:00 AM
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the more likely winner at 48%, against 21% for Sandefjord and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Sarpsborg 08 FF have scored in 12 of 16 league games this season, Sandefjord in 10 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
48%
Draw
31%
Sandefjord win
21%
What our model expects
Sarpsborg 08 FFPer gameSandefjordNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet
45%
Sandefjord clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.3 scored / 1.4 conceded · Sandefjord 1.1 / 1.3 per game
Fouls 24.4
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Sarpsborg 08 FF 13.0 + Sandefjord 11.4 per game
Offsides 2.9
16% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.5 + Sandefjord 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Sigurðarson
Sandefjord
27%
Shots
S. Sigurðarson
Sandefjord
1.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF · on target
D. Karlsbakk
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0.7
Sandefjord · on target
S. Sigurðarson
Sandefjord
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 1.14
- scored
- 0.71
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 16
- Clean sheet in 29%
When their goals arrive
Sandefjord
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 0.88
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 10 of 16
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Sarpsborg 08 FF · Recent form
- L1-2Viking
- D3-3Molde
- W1-0Ham-Kam
- D0-0Kristiansund BK
- W1-0Viking
Sandefjord · Recent form
- L0-1KFUM Oslo
- L0-1Fredrikstad
- L0-3Bodo/Glimt
- L1-2Viking
- D2-2Ham-Kam
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?
Golazo's model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.