Match preview

Brann vs Ham-Kam prediction

Brann
v
Ham-Kam
552223
BrannDrawHam-Kam
Goals expectedBoth teams score68%Over 2.5 goals70%Total goals3.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Brann

6 in the table · 22 pts from 16

Ham-Kam

8 in the table · 22 pts from 16

Sun, Aug 16, 11:00 AM

Brann Stadion, Bergen

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Brann the more likely winner at 55%, against 23% for Ham-Kam and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 68%. Behind that: Brann have scored in 15 of 16 league games this season, Ham-Kam in 14 of 16.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Brann win

55%

Draw

22%

Ham-Kam win

23%

Most likely scorelines219%119%317%

What our model expects

BrannPer gameHam-Kam
WLWWLLast 5
1.50Points per game0.75
2.2Expected goals1.4
1.8Scored1.3
13.5Shots10.9
2.4Cards2.0
1.6Conceded1.9
5.5Corners5.0
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.2 1.4

Total goals 3.6

Both teams score

68%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

Over 1.5 goals

89%

Brann clean sheet

24%

Ham-Kam clean sheet

11%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.6

    35% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Brann 1.9 scored / 1.6 conceded · Ham-Kam 1.4 / 1.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

Brann5.5
Ham-Kam5

Cards

League average 2.25

Brann2.4
Ham-Kam2

Shots

League average 12.5

Brann13.5
Ham-Kam10.9

Possession

Brann50
Ham-Kam50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Niang

Ham-Kam

27%

Shots

N. Holm

Brann

2.1

Brann · on target

B. Finne

Brann

1

Ham-Kam · on target

H. Udahl

Ham-Kam

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Brann

At home
1.5
pts/game
1.75
scored
1.63
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Ham-Kam

Away
0.75
pts/game
1.25
scored
1.88
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 13%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Brann · Recent form

  • W4-2Apollon Limassol
  • L0-1Apollon Limassol
  • W3-2Rosenborg
  • W3-1Universitatea Cluj
  • L2-3Valerenga

Ham-Kam · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Brann vs Ham-Kam?

Golazo's model makes Brann the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Brann vs Ham-Kam?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Brann vs Ham-Kam?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 68%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.