Match preview
Brann vs Ham-Kam prediction
Brann
Ham-KamBrann
6 in the table · 22 pts from 16
Ham-Kam
8 in the table · 22 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 11:00 AM
Brann Stadion, Bergen
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Brann the more likely winner at 55%, against 23% for Ham-Kam and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 68%. Behind that: Brann have scored in 15 of 16 league games this season, Ham-Kam in 14 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Brann win
55%
Draw
22%
Ham-Kam win
23%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.4
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Brann clean sheet
24%
Ham-Kam clean sheet
11%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
35% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Brann 1.9 scored / 1.6 conceded · Ham-Kam 1.4 / 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Niang
Ham-Kam
27%
Shots
N. Holm
Brann
2.1
Brann · on target
B. Finne
Brann
1
Ham-Kam · on target
H. Udahl
Ham-Kam
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Brann
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 16
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Ham-Kam
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 1.25
- scored
- 1.88
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 16
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Brann · Recent form
- W4-2Apollon Limassol
- L0-1Apollon Limassol
- W3-2Rosenborg
- W3-1Universitatea Cluj
- L2-3Valerenga
Ham-Kam · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Brann vs Ham-Kam?
Golazo's model makes Brann the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Brann vs Ham-Kam?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Brann vs Ham-Kam?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 68%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
More Eliteserien matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.