Match preview
KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom prediction
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
12 in the table · 18 pts from 16
Lillestrom
4 in the table · 25 pts from 16
Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM
KFUM Arena, Oslo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lillestrom the more likely winner at 40%, against 31% for KFUM Oslo and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: KFUM Oslo have scored in 12 of 16 league games this season, Lillestrom in 10 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
KFUM Oslo win
31%
Draw
29%
Lillestrom win
40%
What our model expects
KFUM OsloPer gameLillestromNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.4
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
KFUM Oslo clean sheet
25%
Lillestrom clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
KFUM Oslo 2.0 + Lillestrom 1.9 per game
Offsides 2.9
17% below a typical match · League average 3.5
KFUM Oslo 1.6 + Lillestrom 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Haltvik
KFUM Oslo
28%
Shots
K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
1.8
KFUM Oslo · on target
T. Haltvik
KFUM Oslo
0.9
Lillestrom · on target
T. Lehne Olsen
Lillestrom
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
KFUM Oslo
At home- 1.44
- pts/game
- 1.11
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 16
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Lillestrom
Away- 1.63
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.13
- conceded
- Scored in 10 of 16
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
KFUM Oslo · Recent form
- W1-0Sandefjord
- W2-1Kristiansund BK
- L2-4Molde
- L1-2Lillestrom
- L0-2Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom · Recent form
- L0-2Rosenborg
- L0-4Bodo/Glimt
- L1-2Viking
- W2-1KFUM Oslo
- W2-0Fredrikstad
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom?
Golazo's model makes Lillestrom the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More Eliteserien matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.