Match preview
Samsunspor vs Göztepe prediction
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Samsunspor
7 in the table · 51 pts from 34
Göztepe
6 in the table · 55 pts from 34
Mon, Aug 17, 02:30 PM
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Samsunspor 34%, the draw 31%, Göztepe 34%. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Samsunspor have scored in 26 of 36 league games this season, Göztepe in 25 of 34.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Samsunspor win
34%
Draw
31%
Göztepe win
34%
What our model expects
SamsunsporPer gameGöztepeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Samsunspor clean sheet
32%
Göztepe clean sheet
32%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
16% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Samsunspor 1.5 scored / 1.4 conceded · Göztepe 1.3 / 1.2 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Ibrahim Sabra
Göztepe
25%
Shots
Jeh
Göztepe
2.5
Samsunspor · on target
A. Musaba
Samsunspor
0.7
Göztepe · on target
Ibrahim Sabra
Göztepe
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Samsunspor
At home- 1.94
- pts/game
- 1.78
- scored
- 1.17
- conceded
- Scored in 26 of 36
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Göztepe
Away- 1.41
- pts/game
- 1.06
- scored
- 1.06
- conceded
- Scored in 25 of 34
- Clean sheet in 41%
When their goals arrive
Samsunspor · Recent form
- L0-3Kasımpaşa
- W2-1KVC Westerlo
- W2-1AEK Athens FC
- D0-0RAAL La Louvière
- L1-2Dunkerque
Göztepe · Recent form
- W2-1Trabzonspor
- D1-1Rudes
- W2-1Zorya Luhansk
- W2-1Al-Dhafra
- W2-0LNZ Cherkasy
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Samsunspor 34%, the draw 31%, Göztepe 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
More Süper Lig matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.