Match preview
Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor prediction
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa
13 in the table · 35 pts from 34
Trabzonspor
3 in the table · 69 pts from 34
Sat, Aug 15, 12:00 PM
Istanbul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Trabzonspor the more likely winner at 50%, against 23% for Kasımpaşa and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: Kasımpaşa have scored in 23 of 34 league games this season, Trabzonspor in 31 of 34.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Kasımpaşa win
23%
Draw
27%
Trabzonspor win
50%
What our model expects
KasımpaşaPer gameTrabzonsporNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.6
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Kasımpaşa clean sheet
20%
Trabzonspor clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Cards 3.8
16% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Kasımpaşa 1.8 + Trabzonspor 2.0 per game
Offsides 4.4
26% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Kasımpaşa 2.0 + Trabzonspor 2.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Onuachu
Trabzonspor
45%
Shots
E. Muçi
Trabzonspor
2.6
Kasımpaşa · on target
P. Guèye
Kasımpaşa
0.7
Trabzonspor · on target
P. Onuachu
Trabzonspor
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Kasımpaşa
At home- 1.24
- pts/game
- 0.88
- scored
- 1.12
- conceded
- Scored in 23 of 34
- Clean sheet in 35%
When their goals arrive
Trabzonspor
Away- 2.12
- pts/game
- 1.88
- scored
- 1.24
- conceded
- Scored in 31 of 34
- Clean sheet in 24%
When their goals arrive
Kasımpaşa · Recent form
- W3-0Samsunspor
- D1-1Hull City
- W3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- D1-1Batman Petrolspor
- W1-0İstanbulspor
Trabzonspor · Recent form
- L1-2Göztepe
- W1-0Udinese
- L0-1Al Sadd
- L0-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- W2-1Konyaspor
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
Golazo's model makes Trabzonspor the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
More Süper Lig matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.