Match preview
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
14 in the table · 34 pts from 34
Fenerbahçe
2 in the table · 74 pts from 34
Sat, Aug 15, 02:30 PM
Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Fenerbahçe the more likely winner at 56%, against 20% for Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 24% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Gençlerbirliği S.K. have scored in 21 of 34 league games this season, Fenerbahçe in 30 of 34.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Gençlerbirliği S.K. win
20%
Draw
24%
Fenerbahçe win
56%
What our model expects
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Per gameFenerbahçeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.9
Total goals 3
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. clean sheet
14%
Fenerbahçe clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Offsides 3.1
12% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.2 + Fenerbahçe 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
31%
Shots
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
2.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · on target
M. Mimaroğlu
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.8
Fenerbahçe · on target
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
At home- 1.47
- pts/game
- 1.41
- scored
- 1.41
- conceded
- Scored in 21 of 34
- Clean sheet in 24%
When their goals arrive
Fenerbahçe
Away- 2.06
- pts/game
- 2.18
- scored
- 1.06
- conceded
- Scored in 30 of 34
- Clean sheet in 41%
When their goals arrive
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Recent form
- L0-3Kasımpaşa
- W3-0Trabzonspor
- L1-2Trabzonspor
- W3-2Kasımpaşa
- L0-1Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe · Recent form
- W1-0Sturm Graz
- W2-0Sturm Graz
- D1-1Gornik Zabrze
- W1-0Gornik Zabrze
- W2-1Lask Linz
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
Golazo's model makes Fenerbahçe the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
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