Match preview

Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction

Rizespor
v
Samsunspor
482527
RizesporDrawSamsunspor
Goals expectedBoth teams score64%Over 2.5 goals63%Total goals3.2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Rizespor

5 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Samsunspor

7 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 22, 12:00 PM

Rize

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Rizespor the more likely winner at 48%, against 27% for Samsunspor and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Rizespor have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Samsunspor in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Rizespor win

48%

Draw

25%

Samsunspor win

27%

Most likely scorelines1–111%2–19%2–07%

What our model expects

RizesporPer gameSamsunspor
WWDLWLast 5DLWWD
5.9Corners4.2
1.9Expected goals1.4
2.6Cards2.0
49Possession51
13.4Shots13.8
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.9 – 1.4

Total goals 3.2

Both teams score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

Over 1.5 goals

84%

Rizespor clean sheet

26%

Samsunspor clean sheet

15%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.2

    20% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Rizespor 1.5 scored / 1.3 conceded · Samsunspor 1.6 / 1.5 per game

Corners

League average 5

Rizespor5.9
Samsunspor4.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Rizespor2.6
Samsunspor2

Shots

League average 12.5

Rizespor13.4
Samsunspor13.8

Possession

Rizespor49
Samsunspor51

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Rizespor

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Samsunspor

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Rizespor · Recent form

  • W1-0Konyaspor
  • W2-1Pyramids FC
  • D0-0Abha
  • L1-2Hull City
  • W3-1NK Osijek

Samsunspor · Recent form

  • D3-3Göztepe
  • L0-3Kasımpaşa
  • W2-1KVC Westerlo
  • W2-1AEK Athens FC
  • D0-0RAAL La Louvière

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Golazo's model makes Rizespor the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

More Süper Lig matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.