Match preview
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray prediction
Erzurumspor FK
Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
16 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Galatasaray
6 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Fri, Aug 21, 02:30 PM
Erzurum
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Erzurumspor FK the more likely winner at 73%, against 11% for Galatasaray and 16% for the draw. It projects 3.8 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Erzurumspor FK win
73%
Draw
16%
Galatasaray win
11%
What our model expects
Erzurumspor FKPer gameGalatasarayBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.8 – 1.1
Total goals 3.8
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Erzurumspor FK clean sheet
35%
Galatasaray clean sheet
6%
What stands out
Total goals 3.8
42% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Erzurumspor FK 2.2 scored / 1.0 conceded · Galatasaray 1.6 / 1.6 per game
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Erzurumspor FK 1.9 + Galatasaray 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
C. Sylla
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Shots
E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
2.1
Erzurumspor FK · on target
E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Galatasaray
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Erzurumspor FK · Recent form
- L0-3Amed
- W3-1Al Arabi
- D0-0Rizespor
- D1-1Çorum FK
- D1-1Bandırmaspor
Galatasaray · Recent form
- D2-2Çorum FK
- L1-2Villarreal
- D3-3Rennes
- L0-3Venezia
- L0-2Monza
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Golazo's model makes Erzurumspor FK the more likely winner at 73%, with the draw at 16%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
More Süper Lig matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.