Match preview
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders: projection vs result
Portland Timbers
8 in the table · 24 pts from 18
Seattle Sounders
9 in the table · 24 pts from 17
2–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Portland Timbers the more likely winner at 76%, against 9% for Seattle Sounders and 15% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. It finished Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Portland Timbers win
76%
Draw
15%
Seattle Sounders win
9%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.6Actual 3Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 55%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 70%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.8 – 0.9
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Portland Timbers clean sheet
42%
Seattle Sounders clean sheet
6%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
34% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Portland Timbers 1.7 scored / 1.5 conceded · Seattle Sounders 0.8 / 1.9 per game
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Portland Timbers 1.9 + Seattle Sounders 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
50%
Shots
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
2.2
Portland Timbers · on target
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
1
Seattle Sounders · on target
D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
0.9
Portland Timbers · Recent form
- W2-1Seattle Sounders
- W2-1Real Salt Lake
- D2-2FC Dallas
- W5-1Seattle Sounders
- L1-3San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders · Recent form
- L1-2Portland Timbers
- L0-1Philadelphia Union
- L1-3Austin
- L1-5Portland Timbers
- L0-1Los Angeles FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?
Golazo's model makes Portland Timbers the more likely winner at 76%, with the draw at 15%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 10%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.