Match preview
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte: projection vs result
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Chicago Fire 35%, the draw 26%, Charlotte 38%. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. It finished Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Chicago Fire win
35%
Draw
26%
Charlotte win
38%
What we said, and what happened
3 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3Actual 3Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 62%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 58%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.6
Total goals 3
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Chicago Fire clean sheet
21%
Charlotte clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Total goals 3
12% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Chicago Fire 1.7 scored / 1.4 conceded · Charlotte 1.6 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
41%
Shots
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
2.4
Chicago Fire · on target
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
1.4
Charlotte · on target
A. Goodwin
Charlotte
1
Chicago Fire · Recent form
- W2-1Charlotte
- L1-3New York City FC
- L2-3Inter Miami
- W2-1Toronto FC
- W2-0CF Montreal
Charlotte · Recent form
- W3-0U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- L1-2Chicago Fire
- W2-0New York Red Bulls
- D2-2Atlanta United FC
- W1-0New England Revolution
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Chicago Fire 35%, the draw 26%, Charlotte 38%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.