Match preview
Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas: projection vs result
Los Angeles Galaxy
12 in the table · 22 pts from 19
FC Dallas
6 in the table · 27 pts from 18
0–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Dallas the more likely winner at 48%, against 24% for Los Angeles Galaxy and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. It finished Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 FC Dallas.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Los Angeles Galaxy win
24%
Draw
29%
FC Dallas win
48%
What we said, and what happened
1 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.5Actual 0Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 50%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 45%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.5
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Los Angeles Galaxy clean sheet
22%
FC Dallas clean sheet
37%
What stands out
Cards 5.4
19% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Los Angeles Galaxy 2.8 + FC Dallas 2.6 per game
Fouls 24.1
15% above a typical match · League average 21
Los Angeles Galaxy 11.6 + FC Dallas 12.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Musa
FC Dallas
44%
Shots
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
2.6
Los Angeles Galaxy · on target
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
1.8
FC Dallas · on target
P. Musa
FC Dallas
1.5
Los Angeles Galaxy · Recent form
- D0-0FC Dallas
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes
- L1-3St. Louis City
- L0-3Los Angeles FC
- W1-0Club America
FC Dallas · Recent form
- D0-0Los Angeles Galaxy
- L0-1San Diego
- D2-2Portland Timbers
- W2-1Colorado Rapids
- W3-2San Jose Earthquakes
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model makes FC Dallas the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.