Match preview
Metz vs Laval prediction
Metz
Laval
Metz
4 in the table · 4 pts from 2
Laval
10 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Sat, Aug 22, 08:00 AM
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Metz the more likely winner at 46%, against 31% for Laval and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 69%. Behind that: Metz have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Laval in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Metz win
46%
Draw
24%
Laval win
31%
What our model expects
MetzPer gameLavalBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.6
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Metz clean sheet
20%
Laval clean sheet
14%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
31% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Metz 1.7 scored / 1.6 conceded · Laval 1.5 / 1.4 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Metz 1.2 + Laval 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Fall
Metz
23%
Shots
P. Fall
Metz
1.6
Metz · on target
P. Fall
Metz
0.7
Laval · on target
M. Sellouki
Laval
0.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Metz
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Laval
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Metz · Recent form
- D0-0Grenoble
- W2-1Guingamp
- L1-31. FC Kaiserslautern
- W3-1Fortuna Sittard
- W4-1Sochaux
Laval · Recent form
- W2-1Nantes
- L1-3Rodez
- D1-1Le Havre
- W3-1Granville
- L1-2Concarneau
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Metz vs Laval?
Golazo's model makes Metz the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Metz vs Laval?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Metz vs Laval?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 69%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
More Ligue 2 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.