Match preview
Dunkerque vs Montpellier prediction
Dunkerque
Montpellier
Dunkerque
3 in the table · 4 pts from 2
Montpellier
5 in the table · 4 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 21, 02:00 PM
Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Montpellier the more likely winner at 48%, against 27% for Dunkerque and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Dunkerque have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, Montpellier in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Dunkerque win
27%
Draw
25%
Montpellier win
48%
What our model expects
DunkerquePer gameMontpellierBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.8
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Dunkerque clean sheet
16%
Montpellier clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
18% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Dunkerque 1.5 scored / 1.6 conceded · Montpellier 1.7 / 1.1 per game
Cards 5.3
19% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Dunkerque 2.5 + Montpellier 2.8 per game
Fouls 26.7
27% above a typical match · League average 21
Dunkerque 11.8 + Montpellier 14.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Robinet
Dunkerque
19%
Shots
T. Robinet
Dunkerque
1.7
Dunkerque · on target
T. Robinet
Dunkerque
0.9
Montpellier · on target
N. Mukiele
Montpellier
0.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Dunkerque
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 4
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Montpellier
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Dunkerque · Recent form
- D3-3Reims
- W4-2Grenoble
- D0-0KV Mechelen
- W3-1KVC Westerlo
- W2-1Samsunspor
Montpellier · Recent form
- W1-0Nancy
- D1-1Dijon
- W4-2Rodez
- W1-0Clermont Foot
- L3-4Cannes
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
Golazo's model makes Montpellier the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
More Ligue 2 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.