Match preview
PAU vs Nancy prediction
PAU
Nancy
PAU
9 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Nancy
13 in the table · 1 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 21, 02:00 PM
Nouste Camp, Pau
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Nancy the more likely winner at 54%, against 23% for PAU and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: PAU have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Nancy in 0 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
PAU win
23%
Draw
23%
Nancy win
54%
What our model expects
PAUPer gameNancyBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 2.1
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
PAU clean sheet
12%
Nancy clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
29% above a typical match · League average 2.7
PAU 1.2 scored / 2.0 conceded · Nancy 1.6 / 1.4 per game
Fouls 23.7
13% above a typical match · League average 21
PAU 11.8 + Nancy 11.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
B. Bokangu
Nancy
16%
Shots
B. Bokangu
Nancy
1.5
PAU · on target
A. Lefebvre
PAU
0.4
Nancy · on target
B. Bokangu
Nancy
0.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
PAU
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Nancy
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 0 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
PAU · Recent form
- W1-0Dijon
- L0-1Annecy
- L1-2Real Unión
- L0-4Real Sociedad II
- L0-4Espanyol
Nancy · Recent form
- L0-1Montpellier
- D0-0Boulogne
- D2-2Dijon
- D0-0Epinal
- D1-1Annecy
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win PAU vs Nancy?
Golazo's model makes Nancy the more likely winner at 54%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in PAU vs Nancy?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in PAU vs Nancy?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
More Ligue 2 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.