Match preview

Maritimo vs Academico Viseu prediction

Maritimo
v
Academico Viseu
333335
MaritimoDrawAcademico Viseu
Goals expectedBoth teams score43%Over 2.5 goals35%Total goals2.1
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Maritimo

3 in the table · 6 pts from 2

Academico Viseu

11 in the table · 1 pts from 2

Sat, Aug 22, 10:30 AM

Funchal

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Maritimo 33%, the draw 33%, Academico Viseu 35%. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Maritimo have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, Academico Viseu in 1 of 2.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Maritimo win

33%

Draw

33%

Academico Viseu win

35%

Most likely scorelines1115%0014%0112%

What our model expects

MaritimoPer gameAcademico Viseu
WWDDWLast 5LDDLD
0.0Conceded2.0
3.00Points per game1.00
1.0Scored2.0
13.1Shots11.0
2.2Cards2.5
1.0Expected goals1.1
4.9Corners4.5
48Possession52

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 1.1

Total goals 2.1

Both teams score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Over 1.5 goals

63%

Maritimo clean sheet

35%

Academico Viseu clean sheet

36%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.1

    23% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Maritimo 1.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · Academico Viseu 1.4 / 1.1 per game

  • Offsides 3

    14% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Maritimo 1.3 + Academico Viseu 1.7 per game

Corners

League average 5

Maritimo4.9
Academico Viseu4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Maritimo2.2
Academico Viseu2.5

Shots

League average 12.5

Maritimo13.1
Academico Viseu11

Possession

Maritimo48
Academico Viseu52

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

André Clóvis

Academico Viseu

14%

Shots

Martín Tejón

Maritimo

1.6

Maritimo · on target

Martín Tejón

Maritimo

0.7

Academico Viseu · on target

André Clóvis

Academico Viseu

0.6

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Maritimo

At home
3
pts/game
1
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Academico Viseu

Away
1
pts/game
2
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Maritimo · Recent form

  • W2-1Famalicao
  • W1-0Casa Pia
  • D1-1Estrela Calheta
  • D0-0Machico
  • W2-0Camacha

Academico Viseu · Recent form

  • L0-1Santa Clara
  • D2-2Benfica
  • D2-2Celta Vigo
  • L0-1Lusitânia Lourosa
  • D0-0Sporting CP B

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Maritimo 33%, the draw 33%, Academico Viseu 35%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

More Primeira Liga matches

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.