Match preview
Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
Benfica
Thu, Aug 13, 02:45 PM
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 63%, against 17% for Heart Of Midlothian and 20% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 1-2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Benfica in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Heart Of Midlothian win
17%
Draw
20%
Benfica win
63%
What our model expects
Heart Of MidlothianPer gameBenficaBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 2.4
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet
9%
Benfica clean sheet
30%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
33% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Heart Of Midlothian 1.3 scored / 1.6 conceded · Benfica 2.3 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
36%
Shots
D. Lukebakio
Benfica
2.2
Heart Of Midlothian · on target
C. Miller
Heart Of Midlothian
0.6
Benfica · on target
F. Ivanović
Benfica
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Heart Of Midlothian
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Benfica
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Heart Of Midlothian · Recent form
- L1-6Benfica
- L1-2Aberdeen
- L0-2Sturm Graz
- W1-0Raith Rovers
- L0-4Sturm Graz
Benfica · Recent form
- W6-1Heart Of Midlothian
- W5-0FC ST. Gallen
- W5-1CF Os Belenenses
- L1-2FC ST. Gallen
- W2-0Villarreal
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 20%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
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