Match preview
Fluminense vs Remo prediction
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
4 in the table · 38 pts from 23
Remo
18 in the table · 22 pts from 22
Sat, Aug 22, 03:00 PM
Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Fluminense the more likely winner at 56%, against 20% for Remo and 24% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Fluminense have scored in 20 of 23 league games this season, Remo in 14 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Fluminense win
56%
Draw
24%
Remo win
20%
What our model expects
FluminensePer gameRemoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Fluminense clean sheet
35%
Remo clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Offsides 2.8
20% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Fluminense 1.2 + Remo 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
John Kennedy
Fluminense
42%
Shots
John Kennedy
Fluminense
2.3
Fluminense · on target
John Kennedy
Fluminense
1.3
Remo · on target
Jája Silva
Remo
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Fluminense
At home- 2.25
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 1.08
- conceded
- Scored in 20 of 23
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Remo
Away- 0.73
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2.09
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 22
- Clean sheet in 9%
When their goals arrive
Fluminense · Recent form
- W3-2Palmeiras
- D0-0Independ. Rivadavia
- D1-1Botafogo
- L1-3Vasco DA Gama
- D0-0Vasco DA Gama
Remo · Recent form
- D2-2Atletico-MG
- L0-1Santos
- D0-0Santos
- L1-2Mirassol
- W2-0Vitoria
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Fluminense vs Remo?
Golazo's model makes Fluminense the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Fluminense vs Remo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Remo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Brasileirão matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.