Match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock RoversEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
Thu, Aug 13, 03:00 PM
Demrozi Stadium
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 41%, against 33% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 65%. Behind that: Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Shamrock Rovers in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
33%
Draw
25%
Shamrock Rovers win
41%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.7
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet
18%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
19% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.7 scored / 1.4 conceded · Shamrock Rovers 1.8 / 1.1 per game
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
26%
Shots
G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers
2
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · on target
A. Albanese
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.6
Shamrock Rovers · on target
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Shamrock Rovers
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Recent form
- L1-3Shamrock Rovers
- D1-1Celje
- D3-3Celje
- W6-1Petrocub
- D1-1Petrocub
Shamrock Rovers · Recent form
- W3-2Dundalk
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D0-0Drogheda United
- W2-1Ararat-Armenia
- L0-2Ararat-Armenia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 65%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
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