Match preview
Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction
Anderlecht
PAOK
Anderlecht
PAOK
17 in the table · 12 pts from 8
Thu, Aug 13, 02:30 PM
Lotto Park, Anderlecht
The short answer
Golazo's model makes PAOK the more likely winner at 49%, against 28% for Anderlecht and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 69%. Behind that: Anderlecht have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, PAOK in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Anderlecht win
28%
Draw
23%
PAOK win
49%
What our model expects
AnderlechtPer gamePAOKBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 2
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Anderlecht clean sheet
13%
PAOK clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
32% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Anderlecht 1.5 scored / 1.7 conceded · PAOK 1.8 / 1.2 per game
Fouls 24.2
15% above a typical match · League average 21
Anderlecht 12.8 + PAOK 11.4 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Anderlecht 2.0 + PAOK 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Mythou
PAOK
39%
Shots
A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
2.3
Anderlecht · on target
A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
1.2
PAOK · on target
A. Mythou
PAOK
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Anderlecht
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
PAOK
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Anderlecht · Recent form
- W1-0PAOK
- W3-1Hammarby FF
- D1-1Hammarby FF
- W1-0AZ Alkmaar
- W3-2NEC Nijmegen
PAOK · Recent form
- L0-1Anderlecht
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv
- W3-2Dynamo Kyiv
- L2-3Twente
- W3-2AEK Larnaca
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Golazo's model makes PAOK the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 69%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
More Europa League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.