Match preview

Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction

Zaglebie Lubin
v
Slask Wroclaw
202753
Zaglebie LubinDrawSlask Wroclaw
Goals expectedBoth teams score49%Over 2.5 goals46%Total goals2.5
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Zaglebie Lubin

11 in the table · 3 pts from 2

Slask Wroclaw

9 in the table · 4 pts from 3

Sat, Aug 15, 08:45 AM

KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Slask Wroclaw the more likely winner at 53%, against 20% for Zaglebie Lubin and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Zaglebie Lubin have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, Slask Wroclaw in 2 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Zaglebie Lubin win

20%

Draw

27%

Slask Wroclaw win

53%

Most likely scorelines1113%0112%0211%

What our model expects

Zaglebie LubinPer gameSlask Wroclaw
LWWLLLast 5DWLWD
0.0Conceded2.0
3.00Points per game0.00
2.0Scored1.0
0.9Expected goals1.6
2.0Cards1.7
13.3Shots11.9
49Possession51
5.2Corners5.4

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

0.9 1.6

Total goals 2.5

Both teams score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Zaglebie Lubin clean sheet

20%

Slask Wroclaw clean sheet

41%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.7

    17% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Zaglebie Lubin 2.0 + Slask Wroclaw 1.7 per game

Corners

League average 5

Zaglebie Lubin5.2
Slask Wroclaw5.4

Cards

League average 2.25

Zaglebie Lubin2
Slask Wroclaw1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

Zaglebie Lubin13.3
Slask Wroclaw11.9

Possession

Zaglebie Lubin49
Slask Wroclaw51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Samiec-Talar

Slask Wroclaw

14%

Shots

M. Reguła

Zaglebie Lubin

1.5

Zaglebie Lubin · on target

F. Kocaba

Zaglebie Lubin

0.4

Slask Wroclaw · on target

P. Samiec-Talar

Slask Wroclaw

0.7

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Zaglebie Lubin

At home
3
pts/game
2
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Slask Wroclaw

Away
0
pts/game
1
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Zaglebie Lubin · Recent form

  • L1-3Legia Warszawa
  • W2-0Piast Gliwice
  • W3-0Chrobry Głogów
  • L0-2Bohemians 1905
  • L0-2Baník Ostrava

Slask Wroclaw · Recent form

  • D0-0Cracovia Krakow
  • W2-1Raków Częstochowa
  • L1-2Gornik Zabrze
  • W3-1Zlin
  • D0-0Odra Opole

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Golazo's model makes Slask Wroclaw the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

More Ekstraklasa matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.