Match preview

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

Radomiak Radom

12 in the table · 3 pts from 2

Gornik Zabrze

6 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 8, 08:45 AM

Radom

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Radomiak Radom the more likely winner at 44%, against 30% for Gornik Zabrze and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Radomiak Radom win

44%

Draw

27%

Gornik Zabrze win

30%

Most likely scorelines1113%219%108%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 1.3

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

Radomiak Radom clean sheet

27%

Gornik Zabrze clean sheet

20%

What stands out

  • match.offsides 2.8

    20% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Radomiak Radom 1.5 + Gornik Zabrze 1.3 per game

  • Cards 5.1

    14% above a typical match · League average 4.5

    Radomiak Radom 2.8 + Gornik Zabrze 2.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

Radomiak Radom5.2
Gornik Zabrze4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Radomiak Radom2.8
Gornik Zabrze2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

Radomiak Radom12.8
Gornik Zabrze10.9

Possession

Radomiak Radom54
Gornik Zabrze46

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

J. Grzesik

Radomiak Radom

21%

Shots

M. Khlan

Gornik Zabrze

1.6

Radomiak Radom · on target

J. Grzesik

Radomiak Radom

0.7

Gornik Zabrze · on target

E. Janža

Gornik Zabrze

0.6

Radomiak Radom · Recent form

  • L1-3GKS Katowice
  • L2-3Nea Salamis
  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków
  • L1-2Pogoń Siedlce
  • W2-1Legia Warszawa II

Gornik Zabrze · Recent form

  • L0-1Ferencvarosi TC
  • D1-1Fenerbahçe
  • W2-1Slask Wroclaw
  • L0-1Fenerbahçe
  • L1-3Lech Poznan

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Golazo's model makes Radomiak Radom the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

More Ekstraklasa matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.