Match preview

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce prediction

Widzew Łódź
v
Korona Kielce
553015
Widzew ŁódźDrawKorona Kielce
Goals expectedBoth teams score36%Over 2.5 goals33%Total goals2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Widzew Łódź

7 in the table · 5 pts from 3

Korona Kielce

15 in the table · 1 pts from 2

Sat, Aug 15, 02:15 PM

Lodz

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Widzew Łódź the more likely winner at 55%, against 15% for Korona Kielce and 30% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%, and puts both teams scoring at 36%. Behind that: Widzew Łódź have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Korona Kielce in 1 of 2.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Widzew Łódź win

55%

Draw

30%

Korona Kielce win

15%

Most likely scorelines1017%0014%2013%

What our model expects

Widzew ŁódźPer gameKorona Kielce
WDDWWLast 5
2.0Scored0.0
1.00Points per game0.00
1.4Expected goals0.6
2.0Conceded1.0
2.7Cards2.0
15.2Shots12.4
4.4Corners5.1
49Possession51

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 0.6

Total goals 2

Both teams score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Over 1.5 goals

61%

Widzew Łódź clean sheet

54%

Korona Kielce clean sheet

24%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2

    25% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Widzew Łódź 1.6 scored / 0.9 conceded · Korona Kielce 1.1 / 1.1 per game

  • Fouls 23.8

    13% above a typical match · League average 21

    Widzew Łódź 12.0 + Korona Kielce 11.8 per game

  • Offsides 2.7

    22% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Widzew Łódź 1.1 + Korona Kielce 1.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

Widzew Łódź4.4
Korona Kielce5.1

Cards

League average 2.25

Widzew Łódź2.7
Korona Kielce2

Shots

League average 12.5

Widzew Łódź15.2
Korona Kielce12.4

Possession

Widzew Łódź49
Korona Kielce51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Bergier

Widzew Łódź

24%

Shots

S. Bergier

Widzew Łódź

1.9

Widzew Łódź · on target

S. Bergier

Widzew Łódź

1

Korona Kielce · on target

W. Długosz

Korona Kielce

0.5

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Widzew Łódź

At home
1
pts/game
2
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Korona Kielce

Away
0
pts/game
0
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Widzew Łódź · Recent form

  • W2-0Jagiellonia
  • D0-0Wisla Plock
  • D2-2Motor Lublin
  • W2-0Puszcza Niepołomice
  • W4-3Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

Korona Kielce · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?

Golazo's model makes Widzew Łódź the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 17%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 36%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

More Ekstraklasa matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.