Match preview
Start vs Fredrikstad prediction
Start
16 in the table · 10 pts from 16
Fredrikstad
11 in the table · 17 pts from 15
Sat, Aug 8, 12:00 PM
Kristiansand
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Start the more likely winner at 38%, against 30% for Fredrikstad and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Start win
38%
Draw
32%
Fredrikstad win
30%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Start clean sheet
36%
Fredrikstad clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Start 0.9 scored / 2.0 conceded · Fredrikstad 0.7 / 1.5 per game
match.offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Start 1.3 + Fredrikstad 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Cornelius
Start
24%
Shots
J. Ampofo
Start
2.2
Start · on target
J. Cornelius
Start
0.7
Fredrikstad · on target
H. Skogvold
Fredrikstad
0.6
Start · Recent form
- L0-3Viking
- W2-1Kristiansund BK
- L0-3Rosenborg
- L1-2Brann
- L0-4Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad · Recent form
- W1-0Sandefjord
- L0-4Rosenborg
- L0-1Bodo/Glimt
- L0-2Lillestrom
- L1-3Valerenga
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Start vs Fredrikstad?
Golazo's model makes Start the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Start vs Fredrikstad?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Start vs Fredrikstad?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
More Eliteserien matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.