Match preview
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: projection vs result
Molde
5 in the table · 24 pts from 15
Sarpsborg 08 FF
7 in the table · 22 pts from 15
3–3
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Molde 39%, the draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 37%. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 70%. It finished Molde 3–3 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Molde win
39%
Draw
24%
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
37%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.5Actual 6Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 70%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 69%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.7
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Molde clean sheet
18%
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
31% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Molde 1.7 scored / 2.0 conceded · Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.3 / 1.3 per game
match.offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Molde 1.6 + Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Breivik
Molde
28%
Shots
J. Abdulai
Molde
2
Molde · on target
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
Molde
1
Sarpsborg 08 FF · on target
D. Karlsbakk
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0.7
Molde · Recent form
- D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
- W4-2KFUM Oslo
- L1-2Brann
- D2-2Aalesund
- L1-2Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF · Recent form
- D3-3Molde
- W1-0Ham-Kam
- D0-0Kristiansund BK
- W1-0Viking
- L1-3Lillestrom
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Molde 39%, the draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 37%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 70%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
More Eliteserien matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.