Match preview

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction

Sonderjyske
v
FC Nordsjaelland
192556
SonderjyskeDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Goals expectedBoth teams score55%Over 2.5 goals55%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Sonderjyske

12 in the table · 1 pts from 4

FC Nordsjaelland

4 in the table · 7 pts from 3

Sun, Aug 23, 06:00 AM

Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev

The short answer

Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 56%, against 19% for Sonderjyske and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Sonderjyske have scored in 2 of 4 league games this season, FC Nordsjaelland in 3 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Sonderjyske win

19%

Draw

25%

FC Nordsjaelland win

56%

Most likely scorelines1112%1210%0210%

What our model expects

SonderjyskePer gameFC Nordsjaelland
LDLLWLast 5WWWWW
0.50Points per game1.00
1.0Expected goals1.9
1.5Conceded1.0
12.3Shots18.3
4.5Corners6.3
43Possession57
2.0Cards1.8
1.0Scored1.0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 1.9

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Sonderjyske clean sheet

16%

FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet

36%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.8

    16% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Sonderjyske 2.0 + FC Nordsjaelland 1.8 per game

  • Fouls 24.4

    16% above a typical match · League average 21

    Sonderjyske 12.3 + FC Nordsjaelland 12.1 per game

  • Offsides 3.1

    12% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Sonderjyske 1.6 + FC Nordsjaelland 1.5 per game

Corners

League average 5

Sonderjyske4.5
FC Nordsjaelland6.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Sonderjyske2
FC Nordsjaelland1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Sonderjyske12.3
FC Nordsjaelland18.3

Possession

Sonderjyske43
FC Nordsjaelland57

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

R. Norheim

FC Nordsjaelland

27%

Shots

Ibrahim Adel

FC Nordsjaelland

2.1

Sonderjyske · on target

M. Haidara

Sonderjyske

0.6

FC Nordsjaelland · on target

R. Norheim

FC Nordsjaelland

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Sonderjyske

At home
0.5
pts/game
1
scored
1.5
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 4
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

FC Nordsjaelland

Away
1
pts/game
1
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Sonderjyske · Recent form

  • L2-3Brondby
  • D0-0Viborg
  • L0-1Odense
  • L2-3FC Midtjylland
  • W1-0Kolding IF

FC Nordsjaelland · Recent form

  • W1-0Silkeborg
  • W5-0Valur Reykjavik
  • W2-0Valur Reykjavik
  • W1-0Randers FC
  • W6-0Gais

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

More Danish Superliga matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.