Match preview
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction
Sonderjyske
FC NordsjaellandSonderjyske
12 in the table · 1 pts from 4
FC Nordsjaelland
4 in the table · 7 pts from 3
Sun, Aug 23, 06:00 AM
Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 56%, against 19% for Sonderjyske and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Sonderjyske have scored in 2 of 4 league games this season, FC Nordsjaelland in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sonderjyske win
19%
Draw
25%
FC Nordsjaelland win
56%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.9
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Sonderjyske clean sheet
16%
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Cards 3.8
16% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Sonderjyske 2.0 + FC Nordsjaelland 1.8 per game
Fouls 24.4
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Sonderjyske 12.3 + FC Nordsjaelland 12.1 per game
Offsides 3.1
12% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Sonderjyske 1.6 + FC Nordsjaelland 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Norheim
FC Nordsjaelland
27%
Shots
Ibrahim Adel
FC Nordsjaelland
2.1
Sonderjyske · on target
M. Haidara
Sonderjyske
0.6
FC Nordsjaelland · on target
R. Norheim
FC Nordsjaelland
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sonderjyske
At home- 0.5
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 4
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
FC Nordsjaelland
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Sonderjyske · Recent form
- L2-3Brondby
- D0-0Viborg
- L0-1Odense
- L2-3FC Midtjylland
- W1-0Kolding IF
FC Nordsjaelland · Recent form
- W1-0Silkeborg
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik
- W2-0Valur Reykjavik
- W1-0Randers FC
- W6-0Gais
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.