Match preview
Aarhus vs Odense prediction
Aarhus
Odense
Aarhus
10 in the table · 2 pts from 3
Odense
9 in the table · 3 pts from 4
Sun, Aug 23, 08:00 AM
New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 57%, against 19% for Odense and 24% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Aarhus have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Odense in 2 of 4.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Aarhus win
57%
Draw
24%
Odense win
19%
What our model expects
AarhusPer gameOdenseBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1
Total goals 3
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Aarhus clean sheet
35%
Odense clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Corners 11.6
16% above a typical match · League average 10
Aarhus win 5.5 per game, Odense concede 5.6
Offsides 2.8
19% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Aarhus 1.4 + Odense 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Bogere
Aarhus
23%
Shots
J. Arp
Odense
2
Aarhus · on target
S. Jørgensen
Aarhus
0.6
Odense · on target
J. Arp
Odense
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Aarhus
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Odense
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 4
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Aarhus · Recent form
- L1-2Viborg
- L0-4Sabah FA
- W2-1Sabah FA
- D2-2Lyngby
- W3-0Lech Poznan
Odense · Recent form
- L1-2AC Horsens
- L0-1Silkeborg
- W1-0Sonderjyske
- L0-1Viborg
- L1-4FC Midtjylland
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Aarhus vs Odense?
Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Aarhus vs Odense?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Aarhus vs Odense?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
More Danish Superliga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.