Match preview

Brondby vs Sonderjyske prediction

Brondby
v
Sonderjyske
642114
BrondbyDrawSonderjyske
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals59%Total goals3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Brondby

1 in the table · 7 pts from 3

Sonderjyske

10 in the table · 1 pts from 3

Mon, Aug 17, 01:00 PM

Brondby

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Brondby the more likely winner at 64%, against 14% for Sonderjyske and 21% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Brondby have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Sonderjyske in 1 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Brondby win

64%

Draw

21%

Sonderjyske win

14%

Most likely scorelines2011%1110%2110%

What our model expects

BrondbyPer gameSonderjyske
WWDLWLast 5DLLWL
1.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded1.0
3.00Points per game0.00
2.1Expected goals0.9
2.6Cards1.7
14.4Shots11.6
6.0Corners5.0
52Possession48

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.1 0.9

Total goals 3

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Over 1.5 goals

82%

Brondby clean sheet

40%

Sonderjyske clean sheet

12%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3

    13% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Brondby 1.7 scored / 1.2 conceded · Sonderjyske 1.1 / 1.5 per game

  • Fouls 24.6

    17% above a typical match · League average 21

    Brondby 12.3 + Sonderjyske 12.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

Brondby6
Sonderjyske5

Cards

League average 2.25

Brondby2.6
Sonderjyske1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

Brondby14.4
Sonderjyske11.6

Possession

Brondby52
Sonderjyske48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Jensen

Sonderjyske

14%

Shots

M. Haidara

Sonderjyske

1.4

Brondby · on target

M. Frøkjær-Jensen

Brondby

0.6

Sonderjyske · on target

M. Haidara

Sonderjyske

0.6

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Brondby

At home
3
pts/game
1
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Sonderjyske

Away
0
pts/game
0
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Brondby · Recent form

  • W2-0AC Horsens
  • W1-0Viborg
  • D1-1Aarhus
  • L1-2Hibernian
  • W4-0Odense

Sonderjyske · Recent form

  • D0-0Viborg
  • L0-1Odense
  • L2-3FC Midtjylland
  • W1-0Kolding IF
  • L1-2Holstein Kiel

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

Golazo's model makes Brondby the more likely winner at 64%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

More Danish Superliga matches

All Danish Superliga fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.