Match preview
Ried vs Grazer AK prediction
Ried
Grazer AK
Ried
10 in the table · 1 pts from 3
Grazer AK
8 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 21, 01:30 PM
Innviertel Arena, Ried
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Ried the more likely winner at 43%, against 33% for Grazer AK and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 70%. Behind that: Ried have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Grazer AK in 1 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Ried win
43%
Draw
24%
Grazer AK win
33%
What our model expects
RiedPer gameGrazer AKBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.7
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Ried clean sheet
19%
Grazer AK clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
32% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Ried 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded · Grazer AK 1.6 / 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Hofleitner
Grazer AK
20%
Shots
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
Ried
1.4
Ried · on target
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
Ried
0.8
Grazer AK · on target
A. Hofleitner
Grazer AK
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Ried
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Grazer AK
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Ried · Recent form
- L1-4Lask Linz
- L1-2Rapid Vienna
- D1-1Austria Lustenau
- W5-1Dornbirn
- L0-4Mlada Boleslav
Grazer AK · Recent form
- L0-8Rapid Vienna
- W2-1Austria Lustenau
- L0-3Lask Linz
- W4-0Fach-Donaufeld
- L0-5Dynamo Dresden
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Ried vs Grazer AK?
Golazo's model makes Ried the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Ried vs Grazer AK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Ried vs Grazer AK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 70%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
More Austrian Bundesliga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.