Match preview
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach prediction
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
4 in the table · 4 pts from 2
SCR Altach
6 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Sat, Aug 15, 01:30 PM
Merkur-Arena, Graz
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sturm Graz the more likely winner at 65%, against 15% for SCR Altach and 20% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 61%. Behind that: Sturm Graz have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, SCR Altach in 1 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sturm Graz win
65%
Draw
20%
SCR Altach win
15%
What our model expects
Sturm GrazPer gameSCR AltachBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.1
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Sturm Graz clean sheet
34%
SCR Altach clean sheet
9%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
29% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Sturm Graz 2.0 scored / 1.0 conceded · SCR Altach 1.6 / 1.5 per game
Offsides 4.3
24% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Sturm Graz 2.5 + SCR Altach 1.8 per game
Fouls 23.7
13% above a typical match · League average 21
Sturm Graz 12.5 + SCR Altach 11.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Greil
SCR Altach
13%
Shots
G. Mamageishvili
Sturm Graz
1.6
Sturm Graz · on target
Jacob Peter Hödl
Sturm Graz
0.7
SCR Altach · on target
O. Diawara
SCR Altach
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sturm Graz
At home- Scored in 2 of 2
When their goals arrive
SCR Altach
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Sturm Graz · Recent form
- W2-0TSV Hartberg
- L0-2Fenerbahçe
- D1-1WSG Wattens
- W2-0Heart Of Midlothian
- W3-0Seekirchen
SCR Altach · Recent form
- W3-1WSG Wattens
- L0-1Rapid Vienna
- W1-0Leobendorf
- W3-1Grasshoppers
- W1-0FC Vaduz
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
Golazo's model makes Sturm Graz the more likely winner at 65%, with the draw at 20%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
More Austrian Bundesliga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.