Match preview
Lask Linz vs Ried prediction
Lask Linz
Ried
Lask Linz
1 in the table · 6 pts from 2
Ried
8 in the table · 1 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 14, 01:30 PM
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lask Linz the more likely winner at 76%, against 10% for Ried and 15% for the draw. It projects 4.1 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Lask Linz have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, Ried in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Lask Linz win
76%
Draw
15%
Ried win
10%
What our model expects
Lask LinzPer gameRiedBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
3 – 1.1
Total goals 4.1
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Lask Linz clean sheet
35%
Ried clean sheet
5%
What stands out
Total goals 4.1
50% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Lask Linz 2.6 scored / 1.1 conceded · Ried 1.4 / 1.4 per game
Cards 3.8
15% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Lask Linz 1.8 + Ried 2.0 per game
Offsides 4.3
24% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Lask Linz 2.3 + Ried 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Adeniran
Lask Linz
29%
Shots
S. Adeniran
Lask Linz
1.9
Lask Linz · on target
A. Andrade
Lask Linz
0.8
Ried · on target
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
Ried
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Lask Linz
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Ried
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Lask Linz · Recent form
- W2-0Austria Vienna
- W3-0Grazer AK
- W7-0Kalsdorf
- W2-0Fortuna Düsseldorf
- L1-2Fenerbahçe
Ried · Recent form
- L1-2Rapid Vienna
- D1-1Austria Lustenau
- W5-1Dornbirn
- L0-4Mlada Boleslav
- W3-0Rot-Weiß Essen
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Lask Linz vs Ried?
Golazo's model makes Lask Linz the more likely winner at 76%, with the draw at 15%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Lask Linz vs Ried?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 8%. The model projects 4.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Lask Linz vs Ried?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
More Austrian Bundesliga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.