Match preview

Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa prediction

Piast Gliwice
v
Legia Warszawa
172361
Piast GliwiceDrawLegia Warszawa
Goals expectedBoth teams score56%Over 2.5 goals58%Total goals3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Piast Gliwice

16 in the table · 3 pts from 4

Legia Warszawa

1 in the table · 10 pts from 4

Sat, Aug 22, 11:30 AM

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 61%, against 17% for Piast Gliwice and 23% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Piast Gliwice have scored in 2 of 4 league games this season, Legia Warszawa in 4 of 4.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Piast Gliwice win

17%

Draw

23%

Legia Warszawa win

61%

Most likely scorelines1111%0210%1210%

What our model expects

Piast GliwicePer gameLegia Warszawa
LLWLLLast 5WDWWL
3.5Conceded0.5
3.5Scored1.0
1.0Expected goals2.0
1.50Points per game2.00
5.2Corners4.8
1.8Cards1.7
51Possession49
14.4Shots14.4

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 2

Total goals 3

Both teams score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Over 1.5 goals

81%

Piast Gliwice clean sheet

13%

Legia Warszawa clean sheet

37%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.5

    23% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Piast Gliwice 1.8 + Legia Warszawa 1.7 per game

  • Total goals 3

    12% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Piast Gliwice 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Legia Warszawa 1.8 / 0.9 per game

  • Fouls 24.6

    17% above a typical match · League average 21

    Piast Gliwice 11.5 + Legia Warszawa 13.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

Piast Gliwice5.2
Legia Warszawa4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Piast Gliwice1.8
Legia Warszawa1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

Piast Gliwice14.4
Legia Warszawa14.4

Possession

Piast Gliwice51
Legia Warszawa49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

R. Adamski

Legia Warszawa

26%

Shots

J. Lokilo

Piast Gliwice

1.7

Piast Gliwice · on target

S. Ntamack Ndimba

Piast Gliwice

0.8

Legia Warszawa · on target

M. Rajović

Legia Warszawa

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Piast Gliwice

At home
1.5
pts/game
3.5
scored
3.5
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 4
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Legia Warszawa

Away
2
pts/game
1
scored
0.5
conceded
  • Scored in 4 of 4
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Piast Gliwice · Recent form

  • L3-4Wieczysta Kraków
  • L0-3Lech Poznan
  • W4-3Wisla Krakow
  • L0-2Zaglebie Lubin
  • L0-2Odra Opole

Legia Warszawa · Recent form

  • W5-0Radomiak Radom
  • D1-1Korona Kielce
  • W3-1Zaglebie Lubin
  • W1-0Pogon Szczecin
  • L0-2Aris

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?

Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 61%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

More Ekstraklasa matches

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.