Match preview
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa prediction
Piast Gliwice
Legia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
16 in the table · 3 pts from 4
Legia Warszawa
1 in the table · 10 pts from 4
Sat, Aug 22, 11:30 AM
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 61%, against 17% for Piast Gliwice and 23% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Piast Gliwice have scored in 2 of 4 league games this season, Legia Warszawa in 4 of 4.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Piast Gliwice win
17%
Draw
23%
Legia Warszawa win
61%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 2
Total goals 3
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Piast Gliwice clean sheet
13%
Legia Warszawa clean sheet
37%
What stands out
Cards 3.5
23% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Piast Gliwice 1.8 + Legia Warszawa 1.7 per game
Total goals 3
12% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Piast Gliwice 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Legia Warszawa 1.8 / 0.9 per game
Fouls 24.6
17% above a typical match · League average 21
Piast Gliwice 11.5 + Legia Warszawa 13.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Adamski
Legia Warszawa
26%
Shots
J. Lokilo
Piast Gliwice
1.7
Piast Gliwice · on target
S. Ntamack Ndimba
Piast Gliwice
0.8
Legia Warszawa · on target
M. Rajović
Legia Warszawa
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Piast Gliwice
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 3.5
- scored
- 3.5
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 4
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Legia Warszawa
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 4
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Piast Gliwice · Recent form
- L3-4Wieczysta Kraków
- L0-3Lech Poznan
- W4-3Wisla Krakow
- L0-2Zaglebie Lubin
- L0-2Odra Opole
Legia Warszawa · Recent form
- W5-0Radomiak Radom
- D1-1Korona Kielce
- W3-1Zaglebie Lubin
- W1-0Pogon Szczecin
- L0-2Aris
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 61%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.