Match preview

Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom prediction

Legia Warszawa
v
Radomiak Radom
74179
Legia WarszawaDrawRadomiak Radom
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals67%Total goals3.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Legia Warszawa

1 in the table · 7 pts from 3

Radomiak Radom

12 in the table · 3 pts from 3

Fri, Aug 14, 02:30 PM

Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 74%, against 9% for Radomiak Radom and 17% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Legia Warszawa have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Radomiak Radom in 3 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Legia Warszawa win

74%

Draw

17%

Radomiak Radom win

9%

Most likely scorelines2011%309%219%

What our model expects

Legia WarszawaPer gameRadomiak Radom
DWWLWLast 5DLLLW
3.00Points per game0.00
3.0Scored1.0
1.0Conceded3.0
2.6Expected goals0.9
1.8Cards3.0
5.3Corners4.0
15.3Shots12.1
52Possession48

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.6 0.9

Total goals 3.4

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

Over 1.5 goals

86%

Legia Warszawa clean sheet

42%

Radomiak Radom clean sheet

8%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.4

    27% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Legia Warszawa 1.6 scored / 0.9 conceded · Radomiak Radom 1.4 / 1.9 per game

  • Fouls 24.4

    16% above a typical match · League average 21

    Legia Warszawa 12.0 + Radomiak Radom 12.4 per game

Corners

League average 5

Legia Warszawa5.3
Radomiak Radom4

Cards

League average 2.25

Legia Warszawa1.8
Radomiak Radom3

Shots

League average 12.5

Legia Warszawa15.3
Radomiak Radom12.1

Possession

Legia Warszawa52
Radomiak Radom48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Ł. Zjawiński

Legia Warszawa

34%

Shots

M. Rajović

Legia Warszawa

1.6

Legia Warszawa · on target

M. Rajović

Legia Warszawa

0.8

Radomiak Radom · on target

J. Grzesik

Radomiak Radom

0.6

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Legia Warszawa

At home
3
pts/game
3
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Radomiak Radom

Away
0
pts/game
1
scored
3
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Legia Warszawa · Recent form

  • D1-1Korona Kielce
  • W3-1Zaglebie Lubin
  • W1-0Pogon Szczecin
  • L0-2Aris
  • W2-1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Radomiak Radom · Recent form

  • D1-1AEL
  • L1-3Gornik Zabrze
  • L1-3GKS Katowice
  • L2-3Nea Salamis
  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

Golazo's model makes Legia Warszawa the more likely winner at 74%, with the draw at 17%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.