Match preview
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction
Jeju United FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC
5 in the table · 34 pts from 23
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
11 in the table · 25 pts from 23
Sat, Aug 22, 06:30 AM
Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Jeju United FC the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Jeju United FC have scored in 18 of 23 league games this season, Gimcheon Sangmu FC in 17 of 23.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Jeju United FC win
45%
Draw
31%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC win
24%
What our model expects
Jeju United FCPer gameGimcheon Sangmu FCNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.9
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Jeju United FC clean sheet
41%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
18% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Jeju United FC 1.4 scored / 1.1 conceded · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.1 / 1.3 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Go Jae-Hyeon
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18%
Shots
Emerson Negueba
Jeju United FC
1.8
Jeju United FC · on target
Emerson Negueba
Jeju United FC
0.9
Gimcheon Sangmu FC · on target
Go Jae-Hyeon
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Jeju United FC
At home- 1.31
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.15
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 23
- Clean sheet in 31%
When their goals arrive
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Away- 1.25
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.08
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 23
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Jeju United FC · Recent form
- W2-0FC Anyang
- W3-1Jeonbuk Motors
- L1-2Bayern München
- D3-3Incheon United
- D3-3Hwaseong
Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Recent form
- D1-1Incheon United
- D0-0FC Seoul
- W1-0Pohang Steelers
- W2-1Suwon City FC
- W3-2Daejeon Citizen
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Golazo's model makes Jeju United FC the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
More K League 1 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.