Match preview
FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen prediction
FC Seoul
Daejeon CitizenFC Seoul
1 in the table · 44 pts from 22
Daejeon Citizen
9 in the table · 26 pts from 22
Sat, Aug 15, 06:30 AM
Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Seoul the more likely winner at 53%, against 20% for Daejeon Citizen and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: FC Seoul have scored in 17 of 22 league games this season, Daejeon Citizen in 13 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Seoul win
53%
Draw
28%
Daejeon Citizen win
20%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.9
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
FC Seoul clean sheet
42%
Daejeon Citizen clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
FC Seoul 2.2 + Daejeon Citizen 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Ishida
Daejeon Citizen
19%
Shots
M. Ishida
Daejeon Citizen
1.9
FC Seoul · on target
Yazan Al Arab
FC Seoul
0.3
Daejeon Citizen · on target
M. Ishida
Daejeon Citizen
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Seoul
At home- 1.7
- pts/game
- 1.6
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 22
- Clean sheet in 60%
When their goals arrive
Daejeon Citizen
Away- 1.64
- pts/game
- 1.64
- scored
- 0.91
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 22
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
FC Seoul · Recent form
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors
- L0-2Busan I Park
- L1-3Ulsan Hyundai FC
- W3-1Pohang Steelers
Daejeon Citizen · Recent form
- W2-1FC Anyang
- W2-0Gwangju FC
- L2-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors
- D2-2Ulsan Hyundai FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?
Golazo's model makes FC Seoul the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More K League 1 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.