Match preview

FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen prediction

FC Seoul
v
Daejeon Citizen
532820
FC SeoulDrawDaejeon Citizen
Goals expectedBoth teams score47%Over 2.5 goals44%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

FC Seoul

1 in the table · 44 pts from 22

Daejeon Citizen

9 in the table · 26 pts from 22

Sat, Aug 15, 06:30 AM

Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul

The short answer

Golazo's model makes FC Seoul the more likely winner at 53%, against 20% for Daejeon Citizen and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: FC Seoul have scored in 17 of 22 league games this season, Daejeon Citizen in 13 of 22.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

FC Seoul win

53%

Draw

28%

Daejeon Citizen win

20%

Most likely scorelines1113%1013%2011%

What our model expects

FC SeoulPer gameDaejeon Citizen
DDLLWLast 5WWLDD
1.6Expected goals0.9
2.2Cards1.7
0.8Conceded0.9
5.2Corners4.7
10.9Shots11.6
1.70Points per game1.64
1.6Scored1.6
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 0.9

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

FC Seoul clean sheet

42%

Daejeon Citizen clean sheet

21%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.9

    14% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    FC Seoul 2.2 + Daejeon Citizen 1.7 per game

Corners

League average 5

FC Seoul5.2
Daejeon Citizen4.7

Cards

League average 2.25

FC Seoul2.2
Daejeon Citizen1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

FC Seoul10.9
Daejeon Citizen11.6

Possession

FC Seoul50
Daejeon Citizen50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Ishida

Daejeon Citizen

19%

Shots

M. Ishida

Daejeon Citizen

1.9

FC Seoul · on target

Yazan Al Arab

FC Seoul

0.3

Daejeon Citizen · on target

M. Ishida

Daejeon Citizen

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

FC Seoul

At home
1.7
pts/game
1.6
scored
0.8
conceded
  • Scored in 17 of 22
  • Clean sheet in 60%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Daejeon Citizen

Away
1.64
pts/game
1.64
scored
0.91
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 22
  • Clean sheet in 36%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

FC Seoul · Recent form

  • D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • D0-0Jeonbuk Motors
  • L0-2Busan I Park
  • L1-3Ulsan Hyundai FC
  • W3-1Pohang Steelers

Daejeon Citizen · Recent form

  • W2-1FC Anyang
  • W2-0Gwangju FC
  • L2-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • D0-0Jeonbuk Motors
  • D2-2Ulsan Hyundai FC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

Golazo's model makes FC Seoul the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

More K League 1 matches

All K League 1 fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.