Match preview
Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction
Gwangju FC
Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC
12 in the table · 11 pts from 22
Pohang Steelers
8 in the table · 28 pts from 22
Sat, Aug 15, 06:30 AM
Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Pohang Steelers the more likely winner at 51%, against 19% for Gwangju FC and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Gwangju FC have scored in 8 of 22 league games this season, Pohang Steelers in 14 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Gwangju FC win
19%
Draw
30%
Pohang Steelers win
51%
What our model expects
Gwangju FCPer gamePohang SteelersNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.4
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Gwangju FC clean sheet
24%
Pohang Steelers clean sheet
46%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Gwangju FC 0.6 scored / 2.1 conceded · Pohang Steelers 1.0 / 1.1 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Lee Ho-Jae
Pohang Steelers
32%
Shots
An Jae-Jun
Pohang Steelers
1.6
Pohang Steelers · on target
Lee Ho-Jae
Pohang Steelers
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Gwangju FC
At home- 0.64
- pts/game
- 0.73
- scored
- 1.91
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 22
- Clean sheet in 18%
When their goals arrive
Pohang Steelers
Away- 1.55
- pts/game
- 1.45
- scored
- 1.27
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 22
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Gwangju FC · Recent form
- D0-0Bucheon FC 1995
- L0-2Daejeon Citizen
- W1-0Cheonan City
- L1-2Jeju United FC
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers · Recent form
- L0-2Ulsan Hyundai FC
- L0-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- L0-2Jeonbuk Motors
- L1-3FC Seoul
- L1-2Jeju United FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
Golazo's model makes Pohang Steelers the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
More K League 1 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.